LinkedIn

 آمار

تعداد نشریات20
تعداد شماره‌ها1,089
تعداد مقالات9,999
تعداد مشاهده مقاله26,686,847
تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله7,331,281
Azadikhah, Fariba, Mehrabani, Kamran, Raeisi Shahraki, Hadi. (1402). Clustering 46 Asian Countries According to the Trend of Breast Cancer Incidence Rate from 1990-2016: An Application of Growth Mixture Model. سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 11(2), 284-290. doi: 10.30476/jhsss.2021.93289.1437
Fariba Azadikhah; Kamran Mehrabani; Hadi Raeisi Shahraki. "Clustering 46 Asian Countries According to the Trend of Breast Cancer Incidence Rate from 1990-2016: An Application of Growth Mixture Model". سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 11, 2, 1402, 284-290. doi: 10.30476/jhsss.2021.93289.1437
Azadikhah, Fariba, Mehrabani, Kamran, Raeisi Shahraki, Hadi. (1402). 'Clustering 46 Asian Countries According to the Trend of Breast Cancer Incidence Rate from 1990-2016: An Application of Growth Mixture Model', سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 11(2), pp. 284-290. doi: 10.30476/jhsss.2021.93289.1437
Azadikhah, Fariba, Mehrabani, Kamran, Raeisi Shahraki, Hadi. Clustering 46 Asian Countries According to the Trend of Breast Cancer Incidence Rate from 1990-2016: An Application of Growth Mixture Model. سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 1402; 11(2): 284-290. doi: 10.30476/jhsss.2021.93289.1437

Clustering 46 Asian Countries According to the Trend of Breast Cancer Incidence Rate from 1990-2016: An Application of Growth Mixture Model

Journal of Health Sciences & Surveillance System
دوره 11، شماره 2، تیر 2023، صفحه 284-290    اصل مقاله (708.35 K)
نوع مقاله: Original Article
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.30476/jhsss.2021.93289.1437
نویسندگان
Fariba Azadikhah1؛ Kamran Mehrabani2؛ Hadi Raeisi Shahraki* 3، 4
1Student Research Committee, Shahrekord University of Medical Sciences, Shahrekord, Iran
2Independent Researcher
3Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Faculty of Health, Shahrekord University of Medical Sciences, Shahrekord, Iran
4Modeling in Health Research Center, Shahrekord University of Medical Sciences, Shahrekord, Iran
چکیده
Background: Breast cancer is the second cause of death in Asian countries, and 39% of all new breast cancer cases are diagnosed in Asia. The current study was designed to identify different patterns of breast cancer incidence rates among Asian countries.
Methods: In this secondary analysis study, information about the incidence rates of female breast cancer for 46 Asian countries was extracted from the Gapminder website from 1990 to 2016, and a growth mixture model was developed to describe the growth patterns and identify the main longitudinal trends in Mplus 7.4. Finally, the estimated trend in each cluster was characterized by intercept (the rate at 1990) and slope (the observed annual trend changes).
Results: Our findings suggested an overall increasing trend throughout the continent, but individual trajectories showed different behavior patterns amongst countries. Bayesian information creation showed that the 3-cluster model was the best choice. The annual growth of -0.13 (per 100,000 persons) suggests a slight negative trend for the incidence rate of breast cancer in cluster one countries, including Bangladesh, Israel, Kyrgyz Republic, Maldives, Nepal, North Korea, Tajikistan, and Timor- Leste. Seventeen countries, including Armenia, Bahrain, Brunei, Cyprus, Iraq, Japan, Jordan, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Malaysia, Pakistan, Philippines, Qatar, Singapore, South Korea, and United Arab Emirates, which belonged to cluster 2 had not only a higher number of incidence rate in 1990, but also an annual growth of 0.96 (per 100,000 persons), indicating a sharp increase trajectory. Also, annual growth of 0.38 (per 100,000 persons) showed a slow increase in the incidence rate of breast cancer over time for the 21 remaining countries.
Conclusion: The observed sharp increase of breast cancer incidence in Armenia, Bahrain, Brunei, Cyprus, Iraq, Japan, Jordan, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Malaysia, Pakistan, Philippines, Qatar, Singapore, South Korea, and United Arab Emirates is remarkable; therefore, effective strategies to prevent it are urgently required.
کلیدواژه‌ها
Asia؛ Breast cancer؛ Growth mixture model؛ Incidence؛ Trend
مراجع
  1. DeSantis CE, Bray F, Ferlay J, et al. International variation in female breast cancer incidence and mortality rates. CEBP. 2015;24(10):1495-506. doi:1158/1055-9965.EPI-15-0535. PMID: 26359465.
  2. Althuis MD, Dozier JM, Anderson WF, et al. Global trends in breast cancer incidence and mortality 1973–1997. J. Epidemiol. 2005;34(2):405-12. doi:10.1093/ije/dyh414. PMID: 15737977.
  3. Behroozeh A, Tabrizi MM, Kazemi SM, et al. Evaluation the anti-cancer effect of pegylated nano-niosomal gingerol, on breast cancer cell lines (T47D), in-vitro. Asian Pac J CancerPrev. 2018;19(3):645. doi: 22034/APJCP.2018.19.3.645. PMID: 29580033; PMCID: PMC5980835.
  4. Chang H-T, Shi H-Y, Wang B-W, et al. Breast cancer incidence and predictors of surgical outcome: a nationwide longitudinal study in Taiwan. Oncol. 2017;29(6):362-9. doi:10.1016/j.clon.2017.01.005. PMID: 28139380.
  5. Wen D, He Y, Wei L, et al. Incidence rate of female breast cancer in urban Shijiazhuang in 2012 and modifiable risk factors. Cancer. 2016;7(5):522-9. doi: 10.1111/1759-7714.12357. PMID: 27766774; PMCID: PMC5130316.
  6. Madhav MR, Nayagam SG, Biyani K, et al. Epidemiologic analysis of breast cancer incidence, prevalence, and mortality in India: Protocol for a systematic review and meta-analyses. Medicine. 2018;97(52). doi: 1097/MD.0000000000013680. PMID: 30593138; PMCID: PMC6314759.
  7. Ghoncheh M, Mahdavifar N, Darvishi E, et al. Epidemiology, incidence and mortality of breast cancer in Asia. Asian Pac J CancerPrev. 2016;17(S3):47-52. doi: 7314/apjcp.2016.17.s3.47. PMID: 27165207.
  8. Ahmadi A, Ramazani R, Rezagholi T, et al. Incidence pattern and spatial analysis of breast cancer in Iranian women: Geographical Information System applications. East Mediterr Health J. 2018;24(4):360-7. doi: 26719/2018.24.4.360. PMID: 29972230.
  9. Alghamdi IG, Hussain II, Alghamdi MS, et al. The incidence rate of female breast cancer in Saudi Arabia: an observational descriptive epidemiological analysis of data from Saudi Cancer Registry 2001–2008. Breast Cancer: Targets. 2013; 5:103-9. doi: 2147/BCTT.S50750. PMID: 24648763; PMCID: PMC3929249.
  10. Zhou H-B, Liu S-Y, Lei L, et al. Spatio-temporal analysis of female breast cancer incidence in Shenzhen, 2007–2012. J. Cancer. 2015;34(3):1-7. doi: 10.1186/s40880-015-0013-y. PMID: 26060127; PMCID: PMC4593368.
  11. Cheng Y, Yan Y, Gong J, et al. Trends in incidence and mortality of female breast cancer during transition in Central China. Cancer Manag Res. 2018; 10:6247-55. doi: 2147/CMAR.S182510. PMID: 30538571; PMCID: PMC6260121.
  12. Shin HR, Boniol M, Joubert C, et al. Secular trends in breast cancer mortality in five East Asian populations: Hong Kong, Japan, Korea, Singapore and Taiwan. Cancer Sci. 2010;101(5):1241-6. doi: 1111/j.1349-7006.2010.01519.x. PMID: 20219071.
  13. Huang Z, Wen W, Zheng Y, et al. Breast cancer incidence and mortality: trends over 40 years among women in Shanghai, China. Oncol. 2016;27(6):1129-34. doi: 10.1093/annonc/mdw069. PMID: 27013394; PMCID: PMC4880061.
  14. Sangkittipaiboon S, Leklob A, Sriplung H, et al. Breast cancer in Lopburi, a province in central Thailand: Analysis of 2001–2010 incidence and future trends. Asian Pac J CancerPrev. 2015; 16:8359-64. doi: 7314/apjcp.2015.16.18.8359. PMID: 26745085.
  15. Fernando A, Jayarajah U, Prabashani S, et al. Incidence trends and patterns of breast cancer in Sri Lanka: an analysis of the national cancer database. BMC cancer. 2018;18(1):1-6. doi: 1186/s12885-018-4408-4. PMID: 29703165; PMCID: PMC5924495.
  16. Soomro R. Is breast cancer awareness campaign effective in Pakistan? J Pak Med Assoc. 2017;67(7):1. PMID: 28770889.
  17. Manoharan N, Nair O, Shukla N, et al. Descriptive Epidemiology of Female Breast Cancer in Delhi, India. Asian Pac J CancerPrev. 2017;18(4):1015-18. doi: 22034/APJCP.2017.18.4.1015. PMID: 28545200; PMCID: PMC5494209.
  18. Habib OS, Hameed LA, Ajeel NA, et al. Epidemiology of breast cancer among females in basrah. Asian Pac J CancerPrev. 2016; 17:91-5. DOI: 7314/apjcp.2016.17.s3.191. PMID: 27165224.
  19. Wang M, Bodner TE. Growth mixture modeling: Identifying and predicting unobserved subpopulations with longitudinal data. Res. Methods. 2007;10(4):635-56. doi: 10.1177/1094428106289.
  20. Bahabin Boroujeni M, Mehrabani K, Raeisi Shahraki H. Clustering Trend Changes of Lung Cancer Incidence in Europe via the Growth Mixture Model during 1990–2016. J Environ Public Health. 2021;2021. doi: 1155/2021/8854446. PMID: 33897783; PMCID: PMC8052171.
  21. Taei N, Shahraki HR. Identification of Main Patterns in The Incidence of Gynecological Cancers Amongst the Provinces in Iran. Epidemiol Biostat. 2021;7(3):244-50. doi: 18502/jbe.v7i3.7296.
  22. Mardani G, Faradonbeh MA, Kelishadrokhi ZF, et al. Modeling trend changes of mean annual exposure to PM 2.5 particles in the Middle East countries via growth mixture models. J. Geosci. 2021;14(7):1-6. doi: 10.1155/2021/8922798.
  23. Shin H-R, Joubert C, Boniol M, et al. Recent trends and patterns in breast cancer incidence among Eastern and Southeastern Asian women. Cancer Causes Control. 2010;21(11):1777-85. doi: 1007/s10552-010-9604-8. PMID: 20559704.
  24. Pervaiz R, Tulay P, Faisal F, et al. Incidence of cancer in the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus. J. Med. Sci. 2017;47(2):523-30. doi: 10.3906/sag-1510-145. PMID: 28425241.
  25. Poudel KK, Huang Z, Neupane PR. Trend of cancer incidence in Nepal from 2003 to 2012. Asian Pac J CancerPrev. 2016;17(4):2171-75. doi: 7314/apjcp.2016.17.4.2171. PMID: 27221914.
  26. Zaheer S, Shah N, Maqbool SA, et al. Estimates of past and future time trends in age-specific breast cancer incidence among women in Karachi, Pakistan: 2004–2025. BMC public health. 2019;19(1):1001-09. doi: 1186/s12889-019-7330-z. PMID: 31345204; PMCID: PMC6659231.
  27. Lakkis NA, Adib SM, Osman MH, et al. Breast cancer in Lebanon: incidence and comparison to regional and Western countries. Cancer Epidemiol. 2010;34(3):221-5. doi: 1016/j.canep.2010.02.013. PMID: 20413361.
  28. Sim X, Ali RA, Wedren S, et al. Ethnic differences in the time trend of female breast cancer incidence: Singapore, 1968–2002. BMC cancer. 2006;6(1):1-11. doi: 1186/1471-2407-6-261. PMID: 17078893; PMCID: PMC1636657.
  29. Beysebayev E, Bilyalova Z, Kozhakeeva L, et al. Spatial and temporal epidemiological assessment of breast cancer incidence and mortality in Kazakhstan, 1999-2013. Asian Pac J CancerPrev. 2015;16(15):6795-8. doi: 7314/apjcp.2015.16.15.6795. PMID: 26434914.
  30. Zahmatkesh B, Keramat A, Alavi N, et al. Breast cancer trend in Iran from 2000 to 2009 and prediction till 2020 using a trend analysis method. Asian Pac J CancerPrev. 2016;17(3):1493-8. doi: 7314/apjcp.2016.17.3.1493. PMID: 27039796.
  31. Rafiemanesh H, Salehiniya H, Lotfi Z. Breast cancer in Iranian woman: Incidence by age group, morphology and trends. Asian Pac J CancerPrev. 2016;17(3):1393-7. doi: 7314/apjcp.2016.17.3.1393. PMID: 27039778.
  32. Yang L, Sun T, Wang N. The incidence and mortality trends of female breast cancer in Beijing, China: between 2004 and 2008. J. Prev. Vet. Med. 2012;46(11):1009-14. PMID: 23363922.
  33. Mubarik S, Malik SS, Wang Z, et al. Recent insights into breast cancer incidence trends among four Asian countries using age-period-cohort model. Cancer Manag Res. 2019; 11:8145-55. doi: 2147/CMAR.S208323. PMID: 31564974; PMCID: PMC6731990.
  34. Leong SP, Shen Z-Z, Liu T-J, et al. Is breast cancer the same disease in Asian and Western countries? World J. Surg. 2010;34(10):2308-24. doi: 1007/s00268-010-0683-1. PMID: 20607258; PMCID: PMC2936680.
آمار
تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 182
تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله: 93


سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی. قدرت گرفته از سیناوب