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Mirahmadizadeh, Alireza, Rahimi Haghighi, Mitra, Shoa Hagighi, Pegah, Hemmati, Abdolrasool, Moghadami, Mohsen. (1394). A 23-Year Analysis of Dependency Ratio in Rural Population in Fars Province during 1990-2012: A Trend Analysis Study. سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 3(3), 107-112.
Alireza Mirahmadizadeh; Mitra Rahimi Haghighi; Pegah Shoa Hagighi; Abdolrasool Hemmati; Mohsen Moghadami. "A 23-Year Analysis of Dependency Ratio in Rural Population in Fars Province during 1990-2012: A Trend Analysis Study". سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 3, 3, 1394, 107-112.
Mirahmadizadeh, Alireza, Rahimi Haghighi, Mitra, Shoa Hagighi, Pegah, Hemmati, Abdolrasool, Moghadami, Mohsen. (1394). 'A 23-Year Analysis of Dependency Ratio in Rural Population in Fars Province during 1990-2012: A Trend Analysis Study', سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 3(3), pp. 107-112.
Mirahmadizadeh, Alireza, Rahimi Haghighi, Mitra, Shoa Hagighi, Pegah, Hemmati, Abdolrasool, Moghadami, Mohsen. A 23-Year Analysis of Dependency Ratio in Rural Population in Fars Province during 1990-2012: A Trend Analysis Study. سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 1394; 3(3): 107-112.

A 23-Year Analysis of Dependency Ratio in Rural Population in Fars Province during 1990-2012: A Trend Analysis Study

Journal of Health Sciences & Surveillance System
مقاله 4، دوره 3، شماره 3، مهر 2015، صفحه 107-112    اصل مقاله (358.55 K)
نوع مقاله: Original Articles
نویسندگان
Alireza Mirahmadizadeh* 1؛ Mitra Rahimi Haghighi2؛ Pegah Shoa Hagighi3؛ Abdolrasool Hemmati4؛ Mohsen Moghadami5
1Research Center for Health Sciences, Department of Epidemiology, School of Health, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran;
2Expert of Health Affairs, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran;
3Expert of Vital Horoscope, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz Iran;
4Vice-Chancellor of Health Affairs, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran;
5HIV/AIDS Research Center, Department of Internal Medicine, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran
چکیده
Background: The dependency ratio (DR) is defined as the ratio of the non-working population to the economically active population. Dependency ratio is calculated by the sum of population under fifteen years and over 65 years divided by 15-64 year old population. The interpretation of DR variation gives us the impact of health care services and some reproductive interventions. This study analyzed a 23-year DR trend in rural population of Fars province and the effect of some fertility variables on it. Methods: In this study, using data from vital horoscope and regression analysis, we analyzed a 23-year period of DR and some fertility indicators. Results: The total DR significantly declined from 102.5% in 1990 to 41.4% in 2012 (P<0.001). Most of this reduction is attributed to reduction in young DR. Old dependency ratio (population of 65 years and more) was significantly growing (P<0.035). Number of rural health house, family planning coverage, total fertility rate and general fertility rate was significantly associated with total dependency ratio (P<0.009). Conclusion: We passed the first stage of demographic transition, i.e. young dependency ratio declining. But the old dependency ratio slowly increased; it is recommended that the health care services should be promoted in future, especially services for old age people.
کلیدواژه‌ها
Trend analysis؛ Dependency ratio؛ Fertility؛ Health services
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